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Suburb Intelligence Report

Carseldine 4034

Northern suburb โ€” 14.9km from Brisbane CBD ยท Brisbane City Council (Bracken Ridge Ward) ยท Residential suburb developed from 1970s; named after fencing contractor William Carseldine

5.0 kmยฒยท20 parks (13%)ยทWalk Score 40/100 ยท Car-Dependent
10,093
Population (2021)
$1,120,000
Median house price
+11.8%
YoY growth
$620/week
Median house rent
2.9%
Rental yield
1.4%
Vacancy rate

At a glance

Carseldine used to be known for the QUT campus and not much else ? but that campus is now the Carseldine Urban Village, a massive renewal project adding 900 homes, commercial space, and a genuine town centre vibe. Sitting 15km north of Brisbane with its own train station on the Redcliffe Peninsula line, it's perfectly positioned for the commuter crowd. Pat Rafter Park gives the suburb a sporting heart, and with the Beams Road flyover improving connectivity, this is one northern suburb that's actively transforming rather than just coasting.

Crime is 45% lower than QLD average (break-ins vs QLD) and violent crime is 35% lower than QLD average. Population of 10,093 (2021), growing +5.8% since 2016 (from 9,541).

Infrastructure Map

Interactive map โ€” drag, zoom, and click markers. OpenStreetMap tiles (free, no API key needed).

๐Ÿš† 1 train station๐Ÿซ 5 nearby schools๐Ÿ›’ 3 shopping options๐Ÿ—๏ธ 2 active development sites๐ŸŒณ 20 parks

People & Demographics

Carseldine has a median age of 40 and 68% family households. Population +5.8% since 2016 (from 9,541). Projected: Projected ~12,000โ€“13,000 by 2036 (urban village development adding density).

Around national median advantage level
Queensland โ€” 5th decile
58%
Owner-occupied
Professionals
Top occupation
2.5 people
Avg household
Diversity Index
35% not Anglo-Australian (3rd+ gen)
Top Ancestries
English (28%) ยท Australian (25%) ยท Indian (6%)

Education

NAPLAN context below. For detailed school-level NAPLAN scores and trend data, visit MySchool (myschool.edu.au).

No schools within Carseldine itself. See nearby schools below.
๐Ÿš— Nearby high-performing schools

These top-rated schools are a short drive from Carseldine.

Aspley East State School ยท Primary (Pโ€“6) ยท Public
Large, well-regarded primary school, strong community
Aspley ยท ~5 min drive
Taigum State School ยท Primary (Pโ€“6) ยท Public
Established primary with good NAPLAN baseline
Taigum ยท ~6 min drive
Bald Hills State School ยท Primary (Pโ€“6) ยท Public
Historical school with solid academic foundation
Bald Hills ยท ~5 min drive
Aspley State High School ยท Secondary (7โ€“12) ยท Public
Comprehensive public high school with specialist programs
Aspley ยท ~6 min drive
Holy Spirit College ยท Secondary (7โ€“12) ยท Catholic
New Catholic secondary school opened 2022
Fitzgibbon ยท ~5 min drive

Walkability & Amenities

40/ 100 ยท Car-Dependent
  • 20 parks including Pat Rafter Park, Matthew Gardiner Park, Strawberry Farm Park, Bowden Street Park
  • 1 per 505 residents across playgrounds, sports fields, bushland reserves
  • Carseldine Urban Village โ€” emerging retail and commercial precinct
  • Westfield Chermside โ€” 8 min drive
  • Aspley Hypermarket โ€” 5 min drive

Transport

1 train station: Carseldine. Peak frequency Every 15โ€“30 min peak (train).

  • ~35 min by train / ~25 min by car
  • ~25 min via Gympie Arterial Road
  • Bus routes: 335, 338, 339, 340, 350
  • Brisbane City, Chermside, Aspley, Bracken Ridge

Property โ€” Houses

$1,120,000
Median price
+11.8%
YoY growth
+3.0%
Quarterly growth
+68% (since 2021)
5-year growth
~10.9% annually
Annual compound
95 in past 12 months
Sales volume (12mo)
28โ€“35 avg
Days on market
58%
Owner-occupied

Property โ€” Units

$590,000
Median price
+9.8%
YoY growth
+3.2%
Quarterly growth
40 in past 12 months
Sales volume (12mo)
22โ€“30 avg
Days on market

Rental Market

๐Ÿ  House rental

$620/week
Median rent
2.9%
Gross yield
+6.5%
Rent growth (YoY)
+1.5%
Rent growth (QoQ)

๐Ÿข Unit rental

$470/week
Median rent
4.1%
Gross yield
+6.8%
Rent growth (YoY)
Demand indicators
Vacancy rate: 1.4%
Steady โ€” established suburb with good transport links and proximity to Chermside

Safety & Crime Intelligence

Crime score: 16/100 severity rank (0 = no crime) โ€” significantly safer than QLD & national benchmarks across most categories.

45% lower than QLD average
Break-ins vs QLD avg
32% lower than national average
Break-ins vs national
38% lower than QLD average
Vehicle theft vs QLD
35% lower than QLD average
Violent crime vs QLD
Trend (2020โ€“2024, all crimes declining):
Break-ins โˆ’6.5% (2020โ€“24) ยท Vehicle theft โˆ’18% (2020โ€“24) ยท Violent โˆ’5.5% (2020โ€“24)
Chance of violent crime victimisation: 1 in 210 (vs QLD 1 in 123, AU 1 in 89)

Flood & Environmental Risk

Low โ€” some overland flow areas near creek lines. Low (urban suburb, fully developed). Always verify your specific property:

  • Check Brisbane City Council Flood Awareness Map for specific property risk
  • Limited flood planning overlay applies near Cabbage Tree Creek
  • Insurance: check with provider โ€” flood premiums vary by specific lot

Development & Infrastructure Pipeline

Carseldine has active development projects shaping the suburb's future.

Carseldine Urban Village
Major redevelopment of former QUT campus โ€” 900+ homes, commercial and retail space, parks and community facilities
Beams Road Flyover
New road flyover near Carseldine railway station to improve traffic flow between Carseldine and Fitzgibbon
Infrastructure
  • Carseldine railway station โ€” on Caboolture line
  • Carseldine Urban Village โ€” major renewal project
  • Pat Rafter Park โ€” major sports and recreation facility
  • Police station on Gympie Road
Population projection: Projected ~12,000โ€“13,000 by 2036 (urban village development adding density)
Source: Council growth strategy + QLD Government projections

Investor Summary

~10.9% annually
Annual capital growth
2.9%
House rental yield
Units: 4.1%
1.4%
Vacancy rate
Strong landlord market
+6.5%
Rent growth (YoY)
Units: +6.8%
40
Walk Score /100
๐Ÿ“ˆ Median house price trajectory (2021โ€“2025)
$565k$732k$899k$1065k$1232k$665k2021$800k2022$940k2023$1.03M2024$1.12M2025

Recent Sales

Updated: May 2026 ยท Public property records + market estimates
Last 3 months of recorded sales. Market data refreshes monthly.
DatePropertyPrice
May 2026 โ€” 1 sale
May 20265br house, 22 Graham Rd$1,520,000
Apr 2026 โ€” 2 sales
Apr 20264br house, 55 Beams Rd$1,350,000
Apr 20263br house, 1425 Gympie Rd$1,050,000
Mar 2026 โ€” 2 sales
Mar 20264br house, 8 Cowie Rd$1,180,000
Mar 20262br unit, 12/58 Beams Rd$630,000
Feb 2026 โ€” 1 sale
Feb 20263br house, 30 Lacey Rd$920,000
Data sourced from public property recordsView all sold listings โ†—
  • Investor profile: Established suburb with railway station access and major renewal project driving future value
  • Demand indicator: Steady demand with low vacancy rates
  • Gentrification risk: Moderate โ€” urban village development may accelerate gentrification
  • Subdivision potential: Moderate โ€” some larger original blocks offer subdivision potential
Intelligence sources: ABS Census 2021 ยท QPS Crime Statistics (via OpenStats/RedSuburbs) ยท MySchool / ACARA NAPLAN ยท Council flood mapping ยท WalkScore.com ยท QLD Government population projections ยท TransLink GTFS. Property data indicative โ€” verify with current sales. This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Always conduct independent due diligence.

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